- cross-posted to:
- technology@beehaw.org
- cross-posted to:
- technology@beehaw.org
The bond market’s assessment also jibes with SpaceX’s stock. It’s a profitless, non-dividend-paying, one-person-controlled, empire-building project trading at more than 100 times sales, about 30 times the valuation of the S&P 500 Index. That’s the very definition of a junk stock.
Original link: https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2026-07-02/spacex-is-junk-that-s-what-the-bond-market-says
I read somewhere that, if reusable rockets were all ok today, spacex needs some 450 launched just to get back to zero compared to Ariane 6 because of the massive costs.
So yeah “reusable” (I would like to know how reusable they actually are/how much they cost to reuse) is great and all but not yet economically viable it seems.
But but … you can hear people cheering maniacally every time one of their rockets comes back to land! It must be a legit company.
Well, from a technical standpoint they now routinely do weekly what was never ever done before by anyone. Both in launch cadence of their booster fleet and the recovery of them, and they’ve pretty much fully transitioned to only making their Stage 2’s and just using their existing fleet of boosters. So from a rocket company perspective, SpaceX is a legitimate company, and they’ve made legitimate advances in the field of rocketry, and now they outpace the rest of the global market combined in tons to orbit.
Then you fold in Starlink, which needs those weekly launches to maintain the constellation… and then you fold in Starship, which is the next generation launch platform, and it’s like “Ok… that’s still rocket-y, that’s cool”.
And then along comes xAI tacked onto the side like a 100 billion dollar dead weight and that is where things get a bit wobbly.